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  The Monkey Cage asks

Before 30 April 2017, will the U.S. give notice of intent to withdraw from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change?

0%

Chance
938 Forecasters • 1791 Forecasts
Started Jan 6, 2017 06:00PM
Closed Apr 29, 2017 05:00PM (8 years ago)

Will the Dakota Access Pipeline begin transporting oil before January 2018?

100%

Chance
390 Forecasters • 1289 Forecasts
Started Dec 9, 2016 06:00PM
Closed Jun 1, 2017 05:00PM (8 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will Nissan sell more than 15,000 units of the LEAF in the US in 2016?

0%

Chance
265 Forecasters • 595 Forecasts
Started Jun 14, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM (8 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will more than 6,000 new battery electric vehicles be registered in Germany in the third quarter of 2016?

0%

Chance
278 Forecasters • 630 Forecasts
Started May 17, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM (9 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will Faraday Future, NextEV, or Atieva start taking orders for electric vehicles in 2016?

100%

Chance
145 Forecasters • 586 Forecasts
Started May 17, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Dec 14, 2016 06:00PM (8 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will annual sales of electric vehicles in China reach 500,000 in 2016?

100%

Chance
416 Forecasters • 1063 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2016 02:42AM
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM (8 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will the 2016 industry-wide average cost of Li-on batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles be less than $300 per kWh?

100%

Chance
242 Forecasters • 689 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2016 02:37AM
Closed Jan 1, 2017 07:59AM (8 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will Toyota sell or lease more than 750 Mirai in the US in 2016?

100%

Chance
210 Forecasters • 781 Forecasts
Started Apr 22, 2016 02:35AM
Closed Nov 1, 2016 05:00PM (8 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will any other US state adopt California’s Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Mandate before 1 January 2017?

0%

Chance
357 Forecasters • 1015 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM (8 years ago)
 The Mack Institute asks

Will Tesla Motors deliver more than 80,000 BEVs to customers in calendar year 2016?

0%

Chance
576 Forecasters • 1805 Forecasts
Started Mar 22, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM (8 years ago)
 
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