YOUR AD HERE
 

What is the likelihood of event X occurring in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 21, 2021 and Nov 21, 2021)

Started Oct 21, 2021 07:20PM UTC
Closed Nov 21, 2021 07:20PM UTC

This question is a resolved time period from What is the likelihood of event X occurring in the next 6 months?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 42.50%
No 57.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 2
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 2
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.085548
2.
0.085548

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username