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Will the Export-Import Bank of the United States be re-authorized before 1 January 2016?

Started Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC
Closed Dec 04, 2015 02:00PM UTC

The Export-Import Bank's authorization expired on 1 July, but proponents of the bank are working to get it re-authorized (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/01/business/international/though-charter-is-expiring-export-import-bank-will-keep-its-doors-open.html , http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/06/us/politics/us-export-import-bank-teetering-on-edge.html , http://thehill.com/policy/finance/247953-house-gop-draws-first-in-ex-im-showdown ). Legislation re-authorizing the bank must be signed into law by the President before taking effect.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 85.00%
No 15.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 379
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 1000
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.132761
2.
-0.130682
3.
-0.126393
4.
-0.122061
5.
-0.107327

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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