  The Economist asks
What percentage of the popular vote will the Alternative for Germany party win in Germany's next federal election?
Started
Jun 06, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 23, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 23, 2017 06:59AM UTC
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) won no seats in the Bundestag in 2013 (Spiegel, BBC). Popularity may be rising (Wall Street Journal, Reuters, Telegraph). Germany is scheduled to hold federal elections in 2017 (Deutsche Welle).
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| Possible Answer | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|
| Less than 5% | 10% |
| Between 5% and 10%, inclusive | 79% |
| More than 10% but less than 15% | 10% |
| 15% or more | 0% |