Will Turkey's upcoming constitutional referendum pass?
Started
Apr 04, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 17, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Apr 17, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Turkey is scheduled to hold a contentious constitutional referendum in April 2017 (BBC, The Guardian, Election Guide, Daily Sabah).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Recommended Questions: Before 1 July 2018, will a date be set for a referendum on Northern Ireland's governance status? Will Angela Merkel be elected as chancellor of Germany after the 2017 Bundestag election? Before 1 July 2017, will a date be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom?
This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 16 April 2017. Turkey's constitutional referendum passed on 16 April 2017 (Bloomberg), but the opposition party challenged the results (Aljazeera, Rudaw). The electoral commission rejected the petitions challenging the results and an appeal of that decision to the State Council of Turkey was refused (Hurriyet Daily News); official results were released on 27 April 2017, certifying the passage of the referendum (Reuters).
Recommended Questions: Before 1 July 2018, will a date be set for a referendum on Northern Ireland's governance status? Will Angela Merkel be elected as chancellor of Germany after the 2017 Bundestag election? Before 1 July 2017, will a date be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom?
This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 16 April 2017. Turkey's constitutional referendum passed on 16 April 2017 (Bloomberg), but the opposition party challenged the results (Aljazeera, Rudaw). The electoral commission rejected the petitions challenging the results and an appeal of that decision to the State Council of Turkey was refused (Hurriyet Daily News); official results were released on 27 April 2017, certifying the passage of the referendum (Reuters).
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.50% | |
| No | 0.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 156 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 320 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
