The Monkey Cage asks
Between 17 March 2017 and 30 April 2017, will a U.S. Cabinet-level nomination fail or will a Cabinet-level member of the administration cease to hold their office?
Started
Mar 17, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
For more information on the Cabinet-level positions in the Trump Administration see: The White House. Failed nominations include nominations that are withdrawn, returned to the President by the Senate, and those which are voted down by the Senate. Since taking office, 19 of President Trump's cabinet nominees have been confirmed by the Senate, one nomination has been withdrawn, and three remain vacant (Washington Post).
Recommended Questions:
What will Gallup report President Trump's net approval rating to be on 28 April 2017?
Will a border adjustment tax be passed by the U.S. Senate or House of Representatives before 30 April 2017?
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 29 April 2017.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 217 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
Number of Forecasts | 412 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |