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&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Before 30 April 2017, will the U.S. lift sanctions imposed on Russia for cyber activity, the annexation of Crimea, or its actions in Eastern Ukraine?

Started Mar 03, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC

Easing sanctions (e.g. allowing the import of goods from Crimea while retaining the investment ban on Crimea, removing specific individuals or entities from the cyber sanctions list) will not count. The United States imposed sanctions on Russia in March 2014 in response to the annexation of Crimea, in December 2014 in response to its intervention in Eastern Ukraine, (US Department of State), and in December 2016 in response to cyber activity involving the U.S. presidential election (US Treasury). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Recommended Questions: Before 2018, will Russia and Cuba announce the reopening of the Lourdes Signals Intelligence Center? Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the New START treaty? This question was closed as "no" with end date of 29 April 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 382
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 695
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000123
2.
-0.000123
3.
-0.000123
4.
-0.000123
5.
-0.000123

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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