Despite fierce resistance, Islamic State militants have reportedly been losing ground and equipment in Mosul since Iraqi government forces and US-led air forces launched a major campaign to recapture the city in October 2016 (Iraqi News, The Guardian, Asia Times, Politico). _{Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.}

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_{If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether anyone other than Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi will be proclaimed caliph before 1 October 2017 or on whether the US will endorse a peace plan which allows Bashar al Assad to remain in power}