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What will be the valuation of Snap Inc following its initial public offering?

Started Feb 03, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 03, 2017 06:00PM UTC
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The parent company of the popular messaging app Snapchat has filed for an initial public offering to take place as early as March (WSJ, Business Insider, CNBC). Valuation will be based on the end-of-day share price of Snap Inc's first trading day. This question will be extended if the IPO does not occur before the question expires. This question will be scored using our ordered categorical scoring rule. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration grant a waiver allowing Amazon to test its unmanned aerial vehicles in 2017 or on whether SpaceX will launch the Falcon Heavy rocket into low earth orbit before 1 March 2017. This question was closed as "between $20 billion and $30 billion, inclusive" with an end date of 2 March 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Question clarification
Issued on 02/23/17 04:11pm
Valuation will be based on the total shares outstanding at the end of Snap Inc's first trading day. The relevant number will be posted on Bloomberg under market capitalization.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $20 billion 3%
Between $20 billion and $30 billion, inclusive 97%
More than $30 billion but less than $40 billion 0%
$40 billion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 120
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 301
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.101306
2.
-0.089049
3.
-0.079823
4.
-0.076123
5.
-0.075952

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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