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Which film will win the 2017 Academy Award for Best Picture?

Started Jan 27, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 27, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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The 89th Academy Awards® take place on Sunday, February 26. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on the rest of the Oscar Challenge here. This question was closed on "Moonlight" (The Oscars) with an end date of 26 February 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Arrival 0%
Fences 0%
Hacksaw Ridge 0%
Hell or High Water 0%
Hidden Figures 0%
La La Land 82%
Lion 0%
Manchester by the Sea 1%
Moonlight 17%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 162
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 282
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.499187
2.
-1.270826
3.
-0.9058
4.
-0.873958
5.
-0.866955

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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