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&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

What will Gallup report President Trump's net approval rating to be on 28 April 2017?

Started Jan 17, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 28, 2017 05:00PM UTC
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President-elect Trump's net approval rating has improved since his election in November (Gallup). This question will be resolved by subtracting President Trump's disapproval rating from his approval rating using the "Gallup Daily" Trump job approval rating. Gallup is tracking President Trump's job approval ratings here: (Gallup). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on the ratification of the Trans Pacific Partnership or on whether the US will suspend immigration from a country designated as a state sponsor of terrorism. This question was closed as "between -15 and +15, inclusive." President Trump's net approval rating on 28 April 2017 was -8 (Gallup). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Question clarification
Issued on 01/27/17 07:41pm
This question's description was amended to include the link to President Trump's approval rating, which were not available when the question was first released.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Below -15 37%
Between -15 and +15, inclusive 63%
Above +15 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 824
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 2772
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.1052
2.
-0.104309
3.
-0.103097
4.
-0.103
5.
-0.102066

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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