  The Economist asks
What will China’s GDP growth rate be for the first quarter of 2017 compared to the same period in 2016?
Started
Jan 10, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2017 05:00PM UTC
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China met its 6.5-7% growth target in 2016. It will probably set itself a similar growth target for 2017 (The Economist). The question will be resolved according to economic and financial data from The Economist here. The question will be suspended on 31 March 2017 and will be closed when data are available in mid-April.
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This question closed as "more than 6.5% but less than 7.0%" with an end date of 31 March 2017. The Economist reported a year on year growth rate for Q1 of 6.9% (< a href = "http://www.economist.com/indicators"target="_blank">The Economist). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "more than 6.5% but less than 7.0%" with an end date of 31 March 2017. The Economist reported a year on year growth rate for Q1 of 6.9% (< a href = "http://www.economist.com/indicators"target="_blank">The Economist). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 6.0% | 1% | |
| Between 6.0% and 6.5%, inclusive | 38% | |
| More than 6.5% but less than 7.0% | 60% | |
| 7.0% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 459 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 813 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
