The Monkey Cage asks
Will legislation removing the individual mandate to purchase health insurance be signed before 30 April 2017?
Started
Dec 27, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
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The individual mandate is a part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA, or Obamacare) that requires most Americans to have health insurance or pay a penalty. Republicans have tried to repeal the ACA many times since it was passed in 2010, but with control of Congress and the presidency they now have the opportunity to act on President-elect Trump's promise to repeal the individual mandate or ACA in its entirety (NPR, CNBC, CNN, The Bureau of National Affairs). The passage of legislation which prohibits the use of federal funds to enforce the provisions of the individual mandate would resolve the question as "yes" (Legal Information Institute).
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If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on Rex Tillerson's Confirmation or on the U.S withdrawing from NAFTA. This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 29 April 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on Rex Tillerson's Confirmation or on the U.S withdrawing from NAFTA. This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 29 April 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 1052 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2503 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |