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Will Ethiopia be under a state of emergency as of 1 May 2017?

Started Dec 06, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

In response to more than a year of protests, Ethiopia declared a six-month nationwide state of emergency on 8 October 2016 (Al Jazeera). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, try forecasting on whether there will be a new episode of mass killing in Ethiopia before the end of the year or on the next state to experience anti-government mass protests in the Arab world.
This question was closed as "yes, nationwide" with an end date of 1 May 2017. In March 2017, the Ethiopian Parliament extended the nationwide state of emergency by 4 months (Africa News, Aljazeera, Washington Post ). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, nationwide 100%
Yes, but only in some areas 0%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 214
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 558
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.695528
2.
-0.683477
3.
-0.677651
4.
-0.622343
5.
-0.620186

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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