  The Economist asks
What will be the end-of-day closing value for the British pound against the euro on 31 March 2017?
Started
Dec 06, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Britain's vote to leave the European Union has been followed by a depreciation in the value of the British pound as investors fear a "hard" Brexit (The World in 2017). Outcome will be determined according to data provided by Bloomberg.
This question will be scored using our ordered categorical scoring rule.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on inflation and GDP growth in the G7 or growth in Iran's monthly oil production.
This question was closed as "More than 1.10 but less than 1.20 euros" with an end date of 31 March 2017. The closing value on 31 March 2017 was 1.1778 (Bloomberg). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question was closed as "More than 1.10 but less than 1.20 euros" with an end date of 31 March 2017. The closing value on 31 March 2017 was 1.1778 (Bloomberg). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.00 euro | 0% | |
| Between 1.00 and 1.10 euros, inclusive | 8% | |
| More than 1.10 but less than 1.20 euros | 86% | |
| Between 1.20 and 1.30 euros, inclusive | 6% | |
| More than 1.30 euros | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 811 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1738 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
