  The Economist asks
Before 1 October 2017, will Ban Ki-moon announce that he is running for president of South Korea?
Started
Nov 22, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 09, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 09, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
Ban Ki-moon, the UN’s outgoing secretary-general, is rumored to be considering a run for the presidency in South Korea's December 2017 election (The Diplomat). Saenuri, the party of President Park Geun-hye, seems eager to groom him as their next leader (The World in 2017, Bloomberg).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Chun-ying will win the March 2017 election for Chief Executive of Hong Kong.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 9 May 2017. The planned December 2017 election has held early after President Park's impeachment. That election ended on 9 May 2017, and Ban Ki-moon did not participate as a candidate. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Chun-ying will win the March 2017 election for Chief Executive of Hong Kong.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 9 May 2017. The planned December 2017 election has held early after President Park's impeachment. That election ended on 9 May 2017, and Ban Ki-moon did not participate as a candidate. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10.00% | |
| No | 90.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 787 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1474 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
