Will Salva Kiir cease to be President of South Sudan before 1 December 2017?
Started
Nov 15, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
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Salva Kiir has been president of South Sudan since the country became independent in July 2011 (BBC), but his government has been fighting a civil war against forces led by his former vice president, Riek Machar, since late 2013 (US Institute of Peace). In the event that Kiir reportedly disappears or flees the capital, GJI will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Kiir returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on the president of Zimbabwe or the president of Burundi.
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This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.
Possible Answer | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|
Yes | 10.00% |
No | 90.00% |