Leung Chun-ying, the incumbent, is unpopular among democrats and "localists." The Hong Kong chief executive election will be held on 26 March 2017 (South China Morning Post). In the event that a run-off election is required, the end date of the question will be extended. _{Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.}

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_{If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on martial law in the Philippines or anti-government mass protests in the Arab World.} This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 26 March 2017. Carrie Lam was elected as Hong Kong's Chief executive on Sunday 26 March 2017 (BBC, Washington Post). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

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