Will the book "Superforecasting" be listed as a New York Times bestseller between 7 October 2016 and 2 January 2017?
Started
Oct 07, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
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This question was closed as "No" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
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Superforecasting by Good Judgment Inc cofounder Philip E. Tetlock and his coauthor Dan Gardner was released in paperback on 13 September 2016. The hardcover version of the book reached the 11th spot in the New York Times' E-Book Nonfiction list in October 2015. This question will resolve as "yes" if the paper back, hardcover, or e-book version of the book is listed on any of the New York Times' weekly or monthly bestseller lists (NY Times). Recommended Questions Which book will win the 2016 Man Booker Prize?
Superforecasting by Good Judgment Inc cofounder Philip E. Tetlock and his coauthor Dan Gardner was released in paperback on 13 September 2016. The hardcover version of the book reached the 11th spot in the New York Times' E-Book Nonfiction list in October 2015. This question will resolve as "yes" if the paper back, hardcover, or e-book version of the book is listed on any of the New York Times' weekly or monthly bestseller lists (NY Times). Recommended Questions Which book will win the 2016 Man Booker Prize?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.50% | |
| No | 99.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 159 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 333 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
