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&nbspThe Mack Institute asks

Before 2017, will Google announce that it will conduct public testing of its fully autonomous vehicles in a US city?

Started Sep 16, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Since 2014, Google has focused on developing a fully autonomous vehicle that can "operate safely and autonomously without requiring human intervention" and which "won't have a steering wheel, accelerator pedal, or brake pedal… because they don’t need them" (Google Self-Driving Car Project, Google Official Blog, Google Plus). Public testing refers to testing that allows people from the general public to use Google's Cars. Uber's testing of its autonomous cars in Pittsburgh is an example of public testing (Bloomberg, NY Times). Google is currently testing its self driving cars in Kirkland, WA, Mountain View, CA, Phoenix, AZ, and Austin, TX, but those tests are not open to the public. smoothgroover22 on flickr Recommended Questions Between 12 August 2016 and the end of 2016, will any US state enact legislation that allows autonomous vehicles to operate on its public roads? When will Tesla release a software update that adds off-ramp capabilities to its Autopilot system?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 229
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 483
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.07116
2.
-0.06851
3.
-0.066451
4.
-0.066255
5.
-0.062823

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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