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Which book will win the 2016 Man Booker Prize?

Started Sep 16, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 25, 2016 06:59AM UTC

This question was closed on "The Sellout" with an end date of 25 October 2016. The Sellout by Paul Beatty won the Man Booker award (NY Times, The Man Booker Prize). The winner of the Man Booker prize will be announced on 25 October 2016 (The Man Booker Prize). Recommended Questions Will SpaceX launch the Falcon Heavy rocket into low earth orbit before 1 March 2017? Who will win the World Series? Which show will win the Emmy for "Outstanding Drama Series"?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Sellout by Paul Beatty 0%
Hot Milk by Deborah Levy 28%
His Bloody Project by Graeme Macrae Burnet 13%
Eileen by Ottessa Moshfegh 0%
All That Man Is by David Szalay 0%
Do Not Say We Have Nothing by Madeleine Thien 59%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 114
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.487805
2.
-0.485149
3.
-0.475749
4.
-0.350708
5.
-0.251446

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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