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Will the European Parliament vote before 1 April 2017 to establish a European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS)?

Started Aug 16, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2017 05:00PM UTC

The European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS) was proposed by the European Commission in November 2014 as part of a larger plan to establish a banking union (European Commission), but German opposition has stalled the process (Reuters, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal). For more information on the existing proposal see: European Parliament, European Commission. Adoption by vote of the European Parliament is the first step in the EU's legislative process. Recommended Questions Will negotiations on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) be completed before 1 January 2017? What will the end-of-day closing value for the British pound against the US dollar be on 30 December 2016? Before 1 July 2017, will any other European Union (EU) member state set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU?
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 March 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 258
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 707
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011348
2.
-0.011348
3.
-0.010996
4.
-0.00973
5.
-0.00973

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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