Will a Spanish prime minister win a vote of confidence before 1 October 2016?
Started
Jun 07, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 30 September 2016. A Spanish Minister had not won a vote of confidence as of that date and negotiations over government formation continued (NY Times, Wall Street Journal).
Spain is expected to hold parliamentary elections again on 26 June 2016, after elections held in December 2015 produced a fragmented parliament that failed to approve several nominated governments (Financial Times, NY Times). To form a government, a Prime Minister (referred to in the constitution as the President of the Government) must win a vote of confidence in Spain's parliament (See Part IV, Section 99 of the Spanish Constitution).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 164 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
Number of Forecasts | 707 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |