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Will a woman be appointed to be the next secretary general of the UN?

Started May 17, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 14, 2016 05:00PM UTC

This question was closed as "No." On 14 October 2016, the Antonio Guterres was officially appointed as the next UN secretary-general (UN). UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon is scheduled to vacate the post at the end of 2016 and the process of selecting his successor has already begun (United Nations, Reuters, NY Times). There has never been a female secretary general of the UN (NBC News, TIME). Recommended Questions: Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018? Will negotiations on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) be completed in 2016?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 333
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 1295
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.870147
2.
-0.850147
3.
-0.843069
4.
-0.843069
5.
-0.827319

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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