The Mack Institute asks
Will Toyota sell or lease more than 750 Mirai in the US in 2016?
Started
Apr 22, 2016 02:35AM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed with the correct answer "Yes" with an end date of 1 November 2016. Good Car Bad Car reports that Toyota sold 103 Mirai in October, pushing their yearly sales total to 813.
The Mirai is Toyota's first commercially launched fuel cell-powered electric vehicle (Mirai, Forbes 1, Forbes 2). In late 2014, Toyota announced the goal of selling 3,000 Mirai in the U.S. by the end of 2017 (Forbes 3). However, only 72 were sold in the last three months of 2015 (Toyota).
Image source: Wikimedia Commons. Click on the image for more info.
Toyota Mirai sales data can be tracked both during and after the challenge here. Note that sales figures reported include all vehicles acquired by a customer, regardless of how that customer is defined or what kind of payment they made in order to register the vehicle. Hence, sales figures also include leases, and refers to both individual and business customers.
The question will be suspended on 31 December 2016 and will be closed when the 2016 data is released.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 100.00% | |
No | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 210 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
Number of Forecasts | 781 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |