Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 January 2017?
Started
Apr 19, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC
This question was closed a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
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Calls for Zuma to be replaced as president have intensified amidst corruption allegations and a surprise ministerial shakeup which spurred further decline in the South African rand (Vox, Africa Report, Guardian, and Bloomberg). In the event that Zuma reportedly disappears or flees the capital, the administrator will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Zuma returns in the interim, the question will remain open. Recommended Questions Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? Will there be a new King of Saudi Arabia before 1 June 2016?
Calls for Zuma to be replaced as president have intensified amidst corruption allegations and a surprise ministerial shakeup which spurred further decline in the South African rand (Vox, Africa Report, Guardian, and Bloomberg). In the event that Zuma reportedly disappears or flees the capital, the administrator will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Zuma returns in the interim, the question will remain open. Recommended Questions Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? Will there be a new King of Saudi Arabia before 1 June 2016?
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 243 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1208 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |