When will clinical human trials for a Zika vaccine begin?
Started
Mar 22, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 22, 2016 07:45PM UTC
Closed Jul 22, 2016 07:45PM UTC
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This question was closed with the answer "Before 1 January 2017" on 22 July 2016 with an end date of 12 July 2016. GeneOne Life Science and Inovio Pharmaceuticals have begun phase one clinical trials of GLS-5700, a DNA vaccine against the Zika Virus (ClinicalTrials.gov, GeneOne Life Science).
Developers have said that clinical human trials for a Zika vaccine could begin within 12 months (BBC, Mashable, Reuters, NY Times). For more information on clinical human trials see: NIH.gov. This question will be scored using the ordered categorical scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ. Recommended Questions Will Africa remain free of the wild poliovirus through 31 December 2016?
Developers have said that clinical human trials for a Zika vaccine could begin within 12 months (BBC, Mashable, Reuters, NY Times). For more information on clinical human trials see: NIH.gov. This question will be scored using the ordered categorical scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ. Recommended Questions Will Africa remain free of the wild poliovirus through 31 December 2016?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 January 2017 | 99% | |
| Between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2017 | 1% | |
| Not before 1 July 2017 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 319 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 872 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
