What will be the end-of-day closing value for the dollar against the renminbi on 30 September 2016?
Started
Mar 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed on option C ('More than 6.60 but less than 6.80') with a closing date of 9/30 2016. The closing on 30 September 2016 was 6.6718 (Bloomberg).
Since the IMF announced that the renminbi would be added to its Special Drawing Rights, China's currency has weakened (Financial Times, NY Times, Diplomat). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg.
This question will be scored using the ordered categorial scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 6.40 | 0% | |
Between 6.40 and 6.60, inclusive | 1% | |
More than 6.60 but less than 6.80 | 99% | |
6.80 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 326 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1711 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |